Major League Players Club MLB 1-3 Units (4/21/25)

MLB

1 Pick (3 Units).

7:10PM EST: Phillies ML +105 (3 Units).

PHI SP Aaron Nola has a 6.65 ERA but an xERA of 4.0. His strikeout rate and hard-hit % is right on par with last year's numbers. He had a 3.57 ERA in 33 starts last year. The Mets offense is solid but they're 13th in OPS over the last week. Nola has a 3.46 ERA in 28 career starts against the Mets and a 3.28 ERA in 14 starts at Citi Field.

NYM SP Tylor Megill has a 1.4 ERA and a 3.51 xERA. His Hard-Hit rate is up at 50%. He was good in his first 2 starts but hasn't been as sharp in his last couple. He allowed 4 runs (2ER) on 8 hits and 1 HBP on 5 IP at Minnesota his last time out. Start prior to that he allowed 2 Runs (0ER) on 6 hits and 3 walks on 4 IP vs Miami. Neither one of those offenses is great. Megill has a career 4.39 ERA and averages just under 5 innings a start. He had a 4.04 ERA in 15 starts last season. Philly is 5th in OPS on the season and 2nd in both BA and OPS over the last week. They're averaging 6.1 runs over their last 7 games and plated at least 4 in each one.