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MLB

1 Pick

7:07PM EST: Blue Jays -1.5 +140 (2 Units).

OAK SP Mitch Spence has pitched well, but he struggles on the road. He tossed a quality start @ LAA in his most recent road start on July 27th, but the Angels ranked 29th in OPS in July. Going back from there he gave up 6ER over 3.2 IP @ PHI, 6 ER over 5.1 IP @ LAA, and 4ER over 6IP @ TB. The Rookie did face Toronto in the beginning of June, so he won’t have the unfamiliarity advantage. It's a Blue Jays offense that continues to produce and a big reason they just took 2 of 3 against Baltimore. They're 13th in OPS since the Break averaging 4.63 runs per game.

TOR SP Jose Berrios has a 2.99 ERA in 11 Home Starts this season, allowing just 2ER or less in 7 of them. He labored at NY against a hot Yankees offense in his most recent start but tossed 7 innings of 1 run ball at Home against the Rangers the start prior. This Oakland offense has also come back down to earth after a red-hot Month of July. They've scored 3 or less in 4 of their last 5 and just 11 runs total during that span. 3 of those games came against the White Sox and they didn't start Garrett Crochet in any.

The Blue Jays bullpen only has a few good options, and they won't come out unless they're winning this game and get a good start from Berrios. It's the reason for taking the value on the Run Line instead of a heavy Moneyline price. Trust Toronto's offense to do enough if they can shut down a struggling A's offense.