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MLB

2 Picks

6:40PM EST: Yankees ML +100 VOID

NYY SP Gerrit Cole is coming off a rough performance, allowing 6ER to the Mets last Wednesday. The 2023 CY Young Winner has been inconsistent in his 7 starts since returning from the IL. Going back, he's allowed 6ER, 1, 1, 4, 1, 6, 2. He was trending up tossing back-to-back quality starts before the Mets implosion. A Pitcher like Cole rarely struggles in back-to-back starts. In fact, since 2018 (when he joined HOU) he's allowed 6ER or more 8 times. In the 8 starts following he's never allowed more than 3 runs and has a 1.79 over 50.1 IP. Since the All-Star Break the Phillies rank 24th in OPS and are averaging less than 4 runs per game. The offensive woes are a big reason they're just 3-7 during that span.

Aaron Nola starts for Philly, and he's allowed 3 Runs or more in 5 of his last 8 starts. He hasn't allowed less than 3 runs in back-to-back starts since the end of May and beginning of June. He tossed 6 innings of 1 run ball at Minnesota his last time out. New York's offense has just caught fire, scoring 7 or more and 40 total over their last 4. Couple of NY's sluggers have great career numbers against Nola as well. Soto has a 1.095 OPS in 33 at bats and Stanton has a 1.103 OPS in 16. 7:10PM EST: SEA/BOS Over 10.5 (2 Units).

High total but two of the hottest offenses in baseball. SEA SP Luis Castillo has a 4.11 ERA on the road. He was sharp in his most recent road start against a terrible Angels lineup but he surrendered 4+ in each of his 3 road starts prior. His most recent trip to Boston came in 2023 and he gave up 7 runs. BOS SP James Paxton makes his first start for BOS after being acquired via trade from LAD. He has a 5.27 ERA in 3 July starts and gave up 9 runs in his final June start. Boston's a tough venue for LHP with the Green Monster to help out right handed hitters. SEA's scored 6 or more in 4 straight and BOS's scored 6 or more in 8 of their last 9. It's Hot and Humid with 15+ MPH winds blowing out towards the Monster.