Gridiron Player Club NFL 1-5 Units (9/14/25)

NFL

4 Picks (14 Units).

1PM EST: Dolphins -2.5 (3 Units).

Miami shit the bed on the road in Week 1 but that's a common fade spot, and one we took advantage of. The Dolphins are 18-7 at Home under HC Mike McDaniel. They've beaten the Patriots in 5 straight at Home and 8 of their last 10 head-to-head meetings. Not going to overreact and hit the panic button on the Dolphins just yet. There is plenty of talent on both sides of the ball and this is a gut check moment. The season just started and everything’s right in front of them. It’s a strong team at Home and the public's overreacting to Week 1 and betting New England. No need to overthink this.

1PM EST: Jaguars +3.5 (3 Units).

The Bengals defense hung tough and limited the Browns to just 16 points in Week 1. Browns QB Joe Flacco did throw for 290 yards on 31/45 (68.9%) passing. Cleveland just couldn't run the Football but that's an area they've struggled without Nick Chubb. They were 29th in rushing yards per game last season. The new look Liam Coen Jaguars offense had a strong showing against the Panthers in Week 1. Trevor Lawrence didn't light it up, but he was an efficient 19/31 passing for 178 yards. They ran the ball very well, rushing for 200 yards on 32 carries. TB was 3rd in rushing yards per carry last year with Coen as OC. His run game concept is as good as any and we trust him to manufacture some ground success here. The Bengals were mediocre against the run last year and have a new DC this year. They could certainly improve against the run but it's incredibly unlikely this ends up being some elite run defense. Jacksonville has plenty of weapons to attack the leaky Bengals secondary through the air. The Bengals offense had just 141 yards of total offense in Week 1. They'll certainly be better at Home, and the Jaguars defense isn't exactly poised for greatness, but they owned the Panthers. Regardless of that side of the ball we like the Jaguars’ offense to keep them in this.

1PM EST: Lions -6 (3 Units).

Detroit really struggled in Green Bay in Week 1. It was their first game with a new Offensive and Defensive Coordinator. Playing a division rival on the road is just a rough spot for that. The Packers also look like a buzzsaw through the early going. Detroit averaged 34.9 points per game at Home last season. There may be a new play-caller, but the loaded offensive roster is still intact and led by the same QB. This offense isn't going to be as good as it was last year but it's going to be just fine. As far as their defense goes, they played quite well against the Packers. They limited GB to 266 yards of total offense and 3.1 yards per carry. The Bears offense looked sloppy against Minnesota in Week 1. Caleb Williams did a lot with his legs and extending plays. Not a sustainable offensive formula. The Bears HC is the Lions former OC Ben Johnson. He was with Detroit for 3 seasons. The Lions defense knows his offense better than anyone's. Prime spot for Detroit to get their swagger back here.

1PM: Seahawks +3.5 (5 Units).

Seattle's offense struggled against the 49ers in Week 1. That's a 49ers defense that's as good as any when 100%. They also got Robert Saleh back as DC, and say what you want about him as a HC, he's an elite defensive coach. It's also an easy transition for this 49ers defense considering they tried to follow the blueprint he left prior to becoming the Jets HC. The Steelers defense was just torched by the Jets in Justin Field’s debut. They allowed 394 yards of offense and 4.7 YPC. There were a plethora of changes made to the Steelers defense during the off-season and as of right now it's been for the worse. Playing at Home they'll be better, but Seattle should find more success offensively in this spot.

We're very bullish on the Seahawks defense under HC Mike McDonald. He's one of the best defensive minds in the game and dominated during his time as DC of the Ravens. Seattle had the 24th ranked scoring defense in 2023. In his first season at the helm they climbed to 13th in 2024. 2025 is off to a strong start, limiting the 49ers to just 17 points. We simply aren't buying this Steelers offense. They scored 34 on the Jets defense. A Jets defense that was miserable after firing HC Robert Saleh in 2024. A Jets defense with a new defensive HC that operates with an entirely different scheme. There's going to be some growing pains for that Jets defense, and it was evident in Week 1. The Steelers only had 271 yards of total offense in that game. They had 20 carries for just 53 yards. The Seahawks held the 49ers to 3.3 YPC and a long of just 13. If the Jets weren't just the Jets, they win that game easily. The Steelers offense is going to struggle today.